Model Uncertainty

Merlise Clyde and Edward I. George

December 2003

The evolution of Bayesian approaches for model uncertainty over the past decade has been remarkable. Catalyzed by advances in methods and technology for posterior computation, the scope of these methods has widened substantially. Major thrusts of these developments have included new methods for semi-automatic prior specification and posterior exploration. To illustrate key aspects of this evolution, the highlights of many of these developments are described.


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