Bayesian Joint Models of Cluster Size and Subunit-Specific Outcomes

David B. Dunson, Zhen Chen, and Jean Harry

National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences

July 2002

In applications that involve clustered data, such as longitudinal studies and developmental toxicity experiments, the number of subunits within a cluster is often correlated with outcomes measured on the individual subunits. Analyses that ignore this dependency can produce biased inferences. This article proposes a Bayesian framework for jointly modeling cluster size and multiple categorical and continuous outcomes measured on each subunit. We use a continuation ratio probit model for the cluster size and underlying normal regression models for each of the subunit-specific outcomes. Dependency between cluster size and the different outcomes is accommodated through a latent variable structure. The form of the model facilitates posterior computation via a simple and computationally e±cient Gibbs sampler. The approach is illustrated through application to developmental toxicity data, and applications to joint modeling of longitudinal and event time data are discussed.

Keywords: Continuation ratio; Developmental toxicity; Factor analysis; Informative cluster size; Litter size; Multiple outcomes; Probit model; Random length data


The manuscript is available in PostScript and PDF formats.